Handicapping the Oscars (2015 Edition)

Alright, it's almost time for the 2015 Academy Awards and before we see NPH perform some bullshit musical dance number about the movies of the year, let's celebrate the way men do with some straight up gambling!  And with that I present "Handicapping this year's Oscars" by me- JC King!   Enjoy! 

BEST PICTURE

Odds:

Birdman- 4/9

Boyhood- 8/5

American Sniper- 9/1

The Imitation Game- 33/1

Selma- 40/1

The Grand Budapest Hotel- 50/1

Theory of Everything- 66/1

Whiplash- 66/1

OUR BET: Mark my words, there will be an upset either in the Best Picture or Best Director category from Richard Linklater's Boyhood, but for now we're saying the safebet for Best Picture is on Birdman.  If you're feeling lucky though I would throw down on Boyhood, which is what I did. 

BEST DIRECTOR

Alejandro Gonzalez Innaritu for Birdman-    -200

Richard Linklater for Boyhood-      +120

Wes Anderson for Grand Budapest Hotel-    +2500

Bennett Miller for Foxcatcher-  +5000

Morten Tyldum for the Imitation Game-   +5000

OUR BET:  This is the one we feel the best about for Richard Linklater's Boyhood.  He'll definitely get either Best Picture or Best Director, but we the odds on favorite "Birdman" set to pick up Best Picture, this is the one we think could go to Linklater.   Again, for the sake of making it worthwhile and making the night exciting, we went with Boyhood for Both Best Picture and Best Director.  It will definitely win one of these, most likely this category.

BEST ACTOR

Eddie Redmayne in the Theory of Everything-     -350

Michael Keaton in Birdman-   +300

Bradley Cooper in American Sniper-    +700

Benedict Cumberbatch in the Imitation Game-  +2800

Steve Carell in Foxcatcher-  +5000

OUR BET:  If you ask me this is the sucker bet of the night.  It's widely believed Redmayne will walk away with this, but when you consider Michael Keaton's career and the fact he may never be up for an award like this again, consider this a "career" award more than just for Birdman.  Keaton deserves and will win this one!   

BEST ACTRESS

Julianne Moore in Still Alice-      -5000 

Reese Witherspoon in Wild-       +1200 

Rosamund Pike in Gone Girl-      +2500 

Felicity Jones in The Theory of Everything-   +4000 

Marion Cotillard - Two Days One Night-    +5000 

OUR BET:  This is such a sure thing it's almost not worth betting on, but  Julianne Moore will win this thing fo sho! 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

JK Simmons in Whiplash-     -5000 

Edward Norton in Birdman-   +1200 

Mark Ruffalo in Foxcatcher-   +1600 

Ethan Hawke in Boyhood-    +3300 

Robert Duvall in The Judge-   +3300 

OUR BET: Again a sure thing- JK Simmons all the way!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Patricia Arquette in Boyhood-    -5000 

Emma Stone in Birdman-    +1400 

Keira Knightley in The Imitation Game-  +2500 

Laura Dern in Wild-  +2500 

Meryl Streep in Into the Woods- +2500 

OUR BET:  3rd one in a row where it's obvious.  Patricia Arquette will become Oscar #2 for Boyhood after Richard Linklater picks up Best Director.  

OTHER CATEGORIES WORTH BETTING ON.....

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Grand Budapest Hotel-    -225 

Birdman-   +150 

Boyhood-   +1200 

Foxcatcher-  +5000 

Nightcrawler-  +5000 

OUR BET: Easy win for Wes Anderson on this one...to be honest, the movie deserves so many more awards, but it will definitely win this one!  Go with "Grand Budapest Hotel!"

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Glory (Selma)-   -500 

Everything is Awesome (The Lego Movie)-  +400 

I'm Not Gonna Miss You (Glen Campbell: I'II Be Me)-  +900 

Lost Stars (Begin Again)-    +1000 

Grateful (Beyond the Lights)-   +3300 

OUR BET: The battle of the snubs, both the Lego Movie and Selma deserved more nominations and both got snubbed.  The Lego Movie in the Best Animated Feature category and Selma in Best Actor and Best Director categories, so this is make up award for one of the two movies.  The question is which movie does the Academy feel was the most "wronged" by the snub.  That's why we're going with "The Lego Movie."  There's hardly a soul in Hollywood or America for that reason who didn't feel like the Lego Movie was hands down the greatest Animated Film of the year.  This is the chance to make things right, plus Everything is Awesome is totally Awesome.  Go with "Everything is Awesome" here! 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

How To Train Your Dragon 2-    -400 

Big Hero 6-    +250 

Song of the Sea-   +1600 

The Tale of the Princess Kaguya-   +1600 

The Boxtrolls-  +1800

OUR BET: This is just a "gut feeling" bet, but we're going with "Big Hero 6" because it doesn't feel right that a sub par sequel walks away with the trophy.  

So there you go...if you want to make the Oscars more exciting you can always just click here and go to Bovada and place those bets.  Lord knows, the actual awards are always too long and too boring.  So atleast that will make it more exciting.  Also, we don't really know anything these are just my guesses.  If you lose money, that's on you.  Have fun!